XLM / USDT4h

XLM EMA Cross (9/21) Strategy (4h) - Backtest Results

Price Action & Trades

XLM / 4h

Recent Trade History (Live Proof)

Entry DateJan 17, 20:00
Exit DateJan 18, 00:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$0.2323
Exit Price$0.2288
PnL-1.51%
Entry DateJan 13, 20:00
Exit DateJan 16, 00:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$0.2323
Exit Price$0.2284
PnL-1.68%
Entry DateJan 2, 16:00
Exit DateJan 8, 08:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$0.2176
Exit Price$0.2278
PnL+4.69%
Entry DateDec 27, 20:00
Exit DateDec 30, 04:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$0.2195
Exit Price$0.2135
PnL-2.73%
Entry DateDec 22, 08:00
Exit DateDec 23, 16:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$0.2209
Exit Price$0.2153
PnL-2.54%
Entry DateDec 20, 08:00
Exit DateDec 21, 12:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$0.2232
Exit Price$0.2143
PnL-3.99%
Entry DateDec 9, 16:00
Exit DateDec 11, 12:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$0.2550
Exit Price$0.2434
PnL-4.55%
Entry DateDec 3, 00:00
Exit DateDec 5, 16:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$0.2540
Exit Price$0.2435
PnL-4.13%
Entry DateNov 23, 20:00
Exit DateNov 30, 16:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$0.2527
Exit Price$0.2522
PnL-0.2%
Entry DateNov 12, 12:00
Exit DateNov 12, 16:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$0.2939
Exit Price$0.2776
PnL-5.55%
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Equity Curve

$-329.74
2025-08-192025-09-142025-10-102025-11-042025-11-302025-12-252026-01-28$0k$0.3k$0.6k$0.9k$1.2k

AI Deep AnalysisPowered by algorithmic insights

Performance Assessment

The 18.18% win rate indicates a high-risk, high-reward approach. Each winning trade must significantly outpace losses.

Risk-Reward Profile

At 0.48x, transaction costs and slippage could erode gains. Factor in realistic trading costs.

Signal Frequency

Moderate activity (22 signals) allows careful analysis of each XLM trading opportunity.

Timeframe Analysis

Shorter timeframes show more signals but lower win rates. 4h is the sweet spot.

Position Sizing

Compound growth strategy: reinvest 25% of profits into position size.

Optimization Insight

Volume filters may improve win rate: require above-average volume for entry confirmation.

Analysis based on 22 trades
Review Recommended

Performance Metrics

Win Rate
18.18%
Profit Factor
0.48
Total Trades
22
Data Period
Last 6 Months

About The EMA Cross (9/21) Strategy

This EMA Cross (9/21) algorithm for XLM is 0.48x profit factor on XLM: 22 4h backtests. Why does selectivity work? Built to capture sustained trends on...

Backtest Methodology

Our testing period for XLM spans multiple market cycles, capturing both bull and bear phases on the 4h chart. The 22 signals generated demonstrate the strategy's adaptability, maintaining a 18.18% hit rate regardless of broader market direction.

Key Takeaways

  • Expect 3-5 consecutive losses at 18.18% accuracy.
  • Size positions to survive max drawdown periods.
  • Reduce size by 50% after 3 losing trades.

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