XLM / USDT1d
XLM EMA Cross (9/21) Strategy (1d) - Backtest Results
Price Action & Trades
XLM / 1d
Recent Trade History (Live Proof)
| Entry Date | Exit Date | Type | Entry Price | Exit Price | Profit/Loss Ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 00:00 | Jan 20, 00:00 | Long | $0.2453 | $0.2098 | -14.47% |
| Oct 2, 00:00 | Oct 10, 00:00 | Long | $0.4108 | $0.3381 | -17.7% |
| Sep 13, 00:00 | Sep 22, 00:00 | Long | $0.4041 | $0.3663 | -9.35% |
| Jul 9, 00:00 | Aug 19, 00:00 | Long | $0.2883 | $0.3908 | +35.55% |
| Apr 23, 00:00 | May 29, 00:00 | Long | $0.2663 | $0.2788 | +4.69% |
Entry DateJan 5, 00:00
Exit DateJan 20, 00:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$0.2453
Exit Price$0.2098
PnL-14.47%
Entry DateOct 2, 00:00
Exit DateOct 10, 00:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$0.4108
Exit Price$0.3381
PnL-17.7%
Entry DateSep 13, 00:00
Exit DateSep 22, 00:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$0.4041
Exit Price$0.3663
PnL-9.35%
Entry DateJul 9, 00:00
Exit DateAug 19, 00:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$0.2883
Exit Price$0.3908
PnL+35.55%
Entry DateApr 23, 00:00
Exit DateMay 29, 00:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$0.2663
Exit Price$0.2788
PnL+4.69%
Equity Curve
$-103.49
AI Deep AnalysisPowered by algorithmic insights
Performance Assessment
The 40% win rate indicates a high-risk, high-reward approach. Each winning trade must significantly outpace losses.
Risk-Reward Profile
Low profit factor (0.79) indicates potential parameter optimization is needed for XLM.
Signal Frequency
At 5 trades, each position carries higher significance. No room for poor execution.
Position Sizing
Kelly Criterion suggests minimal position sizing for this edge.
Optimization Insight
Consider testing Bollinger Band periods of 18-22 candles for potential XLM optimization.
Trend Compatibility
Best results occur when XLM's 1d trend aligns with higher timeframe momentum.
Analysis based on 5 trades
Review Recommended
Performance Metrics
Win Rate
40%Profit Factor
0.79Total Trades
5Data Period
All HistoryAbout The EMA Cross (9/21) Strategy
XLM EMA Cross (9/21) strategy on 1d charts. Early backtest data available for review.
Backtest Methodology
Human bias is eliminated in our XLM testing. Each of the 5 trades on 1d candles followed pre-defined systematic rules with no discretionary overrides. The 40% success rate reflects pure algorithmic execution.
Key Takeaways
- Expect 3-5 consecutive losses at 40% accuracy.
- Size positions to survive max drawdown periods.
- Reduce size by 50% after 3 losing trades.
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