TAO / USDT4h

TAO EMA Cross (9/21) Strategy (4h) - Backtest Results

Price Action & Trades

TAO / 4h

Recent Trade History (Live Proof)

Entry DateJan 1, 12:00
Exit DateJan 15, 16:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$224.2
Exit Price$282.1
PnL+25.83%
Entry DateDec 31, 00:00
Exit DateDec 31, 16:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$224.2
Exit Price$219.2
PnL-2.23%
Entry DateDec 28, 00:00
Exit DateDec 30, 04:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$222.7
Exit Price$219.4
PnL-1.48%
Entry DateDec 25, 16:00
Exit DateDec 26, 20:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$225.8
Exit Price$216.1
PnL-4.3%
Entry DateDec 13, 20:00
Exit DateDec 14, 04:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$294.8
Exit Price$292.3
PnL-0.85%
Entry DateDec 12, 00:00
Exit DateDec 13, 04:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$297.1
Exit Price$293.4
PnL-1.25%
Entry DateDec 8, 04:00
Exit DateDec 11, 04:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$300.5
Exit Price$284
PnL-5.49%
Entry DateDec 3, 16:00
Exit DateDec 5, 16:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$288.8
Exit Price$274.2
PnL-5.06%
Entry DateNov 25, 08:00
Exit DateNov 29, 04:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$292.6
Exit Price$298.7
PnL+2.08%
Entry DateNov 11, 00:00
Exit DateNov 11, 04:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$395.7
Exit Price$374.3
PnL-5.41%
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Equity Curve

$-311.83
2025-09-232025-10-142025-11-032025-11-232025-12-122026-01-012026-01-28$0k$0.3k$0.6k$0.9k$1.2k

AI Deep AnalysisPowered by algorithmic insights

Performance Assessment

The 26.32% win rate indicates a high-risk, high-reward approach. Each winning trade must significantly outpace losses.

Risk-Reward Profile

At 0.40x, transaction costs and slippage could erode gains. Factor in realistic trading costs.

Signal Frequency

This trade volume (19) is suitable for traders who prefer selective engagement.

Trend Compatibility

This EMA Cross (9/21) configuration excels in trending TAO markets. Avoid during extended consolidation.

Optimization Insight

Volume filters may improve win rate: require above-average volume for entry confirmation.

Position Sizing

Kelly Criterion suggests minimal position sizing for this edge.

Analysis based on 19 trades
Review Recommended

Performance Metrics

Win Rate
26.32%
Profit Factor
0.4
Total Trades
19
Data Period
Last 6 Months

About The EMA Cross (9/21) Strategy

Following a rigorous backtesting phase, this TAO EMA Cross (9/21) bot is TAO swing trading delivers 0.40x returns.

Backtest Methodology

The performance metrics for this TAO strategy are derived from institutional-grade market data. We process tick-level price movements aggregated into 4h candles, ensuring no gaps or anomalies affect the results. With 19 completed trades achieving a 26.32% success rate, the data reliability is exceptionally high.

Key Takeaways

  • Expect 3-5 consecutive losses at 26.32% accuracy.
  • Size positions to survive max drawdown periods.
  • Reduce size by 50% after 3 losing trades.

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