FIL / USDT4h
FIL EMA Cross (9/21) Strategy (4h) - Backtest Results
Price Action & Trades
FIL / 4h
Recent Trade History (Live Proof)
| Entry Date | Exit Date | Type | Entry Price | Exit Price | Profit/Loss Ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 20:00 | Jan 19, 00:00 | Long | $1.5470 | $1.3630 | -11.89% |
| Jan 17, 12:00 | Jan 18, 12:00 | Long | $1.5590 | $1.5270 | -2.05% |
| Jan 13, 16:00 | Jan 16, 08:00 | Long | $1.5510 | $1.5350 | -1.03% |
| Jan 1, 12:00 | Jan 8, 08:00 | Long | $1.4130 | $1.4720 | +4.18% |
| Dec 28, 00:00 | Dec 31, 20:00 | Long | $1.3100 | $1.3050 | -0.38% |
| Dec 20, 00:00 | Dec 24, 08:00 | Long | $1.3010 | $1.2700 | -2.38% |
| Dec 9, 16:00 | Dec 10, 20:00 | Long | $1.5780 | $1.4860 | -5.83% |
| Dec 3, 12:00 | Dec 5, 08:00 | Long | $1.5760 | $1.5280 | -3.05% |
| Nov 27, 00:00 | Nov 27, 20:00 | Long | $1.6670 | $1.6180 | -2.94% |
| Nov 6, 16:00 | Nov 11, 08:00 | Long | $1.7800 | $2.3900 | +34.27% |
Entry DateJan 18, 20:00
Exit DateJan 19, 00:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$1.5470
Exit Price$1.3630
PnL-11.89%
Entry DateJan 17, 12:00
Exit DateJan 18, 12:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$1.5590
Exit Price$1.5270
PnL-2.05%
Entry DateJan 13, 16:00
Exit DateJan 16, 08:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$1.5510
Exit Price$1.5350
PnL-1.03%
Entry DateJan 1, 12:00
Exit DateJan 8, 08:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$1.4130
Exit Price$1.4720
PnL+4.18%
Entry DateDec 28, 00:00
Exit DateDec 31, 20:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$1.3100
Exit Price$1.3050
PnL-0.38%
Entry DateDec 20, 00:00
Exit DateDec 24, 08:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$1.3010
Exit Price$1.2700
PnL-2.38%
Entry DateDec 9, 16:00
Exit DateDec 10, 20:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$1.5780
Exit Price$1.4860
PnL-5.83%
Entry DateDec 3, 12:00
Exit DateDec 5, 08:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$1.5760
Exit Price$1.5280
PnL-3.05%
Entry DateNov 27, 00:00
Exit DateNov 27, 20:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$1.6670
Exit Price$1.6180
PnL-2.94%
Entry DateNov 6, 16:00
Exit DateNov 11, 08:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$1.7800
Exit Price$2.3900
PnL+34.27%
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Equity Curve
$-165.3
AI Deep AnalysisPowered by algorithmic insights
Performance Assessment
The 17.65% win rate indicates a high-risk, high-reward approach. Each winning trade must significantly outpace losses.
Risk-Reward Profile
Low PF (0.84) combined with this win rate makes the setup high-variance. Trade cautiously.
Signal Frequency
This trade volume (17) is suitable for traders who prefer selective engagement.
Position Sizing
Kelly Criterion suggests minimal position sizing for this edge.
Volatility Analysis
The algorithm capitalizes on FIL's characteristic volatility patterns on the 4h timeframe.
Timeframe Analysis
The 4h timeframe reduces overnight gap risk while capturing meaningful moves.
Analysis based on 17 trades
Review Recommended
Performance Metrics
Win Rate
17.65%Profit Factor
0.84Total Trades
17Data Period
Last 6 MonthsAbout The EMA Cross (9/21) Strategy
This EMA Cross (9/21) algorithm for FIL is 0.84x profit factor on FIL: 17 4h backtests. Why does selectivity work? Built to capture sustained trends on...
Backtest Methodology
The performance metrics for this FIL strategy are derived from institutional-grade market data. We process tick-level price movements aggregated into 4h candles, ensuring no gaps or anomalies affect the results. With 17 completed trades achieving a 17.65% success rate, the data reliability is exceptionally high.
Key Takeaways
- Expect 3-5 consecutive losses at 17.65% accuracy.
- Size positions to survive max drawdown periods.
- Reduce size by 50% after 3 losing trades.
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