ETH / USDT4h
ETH EMA Cross (9/21) Strategy (4h) - Backtest Results
Price Action & Trades
ETH / 4h
Recent Trade History (Live Proof)
| Entry Date | Exit Date | Type | Entry Price | Exit Price | Profit/Loss Ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 08:00 | Jan 19, 04:00 | Long | $3,139.05 | $3,203.2 | +2.04% |
| Jan 12, 04:00 | Jan 12, 16:00 | Long | $3,158.89 | $3,105.19 | -1.7% |
| Dec 30, 08:00 | Jan 8, 08:00 | Long | $2,985.49 | $3,112.48 | +4.25% |
| Dec 29, 00:00 | Dec 30, 00:00 | Long | $2,982.37 | $2,936.86 | -1.53% |
| Dec 26, 12:00 | Dec 26, 16:00 | Long | $2,985.15 | $2,921.63 | -2.13% |
| Dec 20, 00:00 | Dec 23, 16:00 | Long | $2,976.66 | $2,910.97 | -2.21% |
| Dec 7, 20:00 | Dec 12, 16:00 | Long | $3,082.29 | $3,068.09 | -0.46% |
| Dec 3, 00:00 | Dec 6, 08:00 | Long | $3,015.24 | $3,029.99 | +0.49% |
| Nov 24, 16:00 | Dec 1, 00:00 | Long | $2,941.63 | $2,851.57 | -3.06% |
| Nov 12, 12:00 | Nov 12, 16:00 | Long | $3,575.19 | $3,431.59 | -4.02% |
Entry DateJan 13, 08:00
Exit DateJan 19, 04:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$3,139.05
Exit Price$3,203.2
PnL+2.04%
Entry DateJan 12, 04:00
Exit DateJan 12, 16:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$3,158.89
Exit Price$3,105.19
PnL-1.7%
Entry DateDec 30, 08:00
Exit DateJan 8, 08:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$2,985.49
Exit Price$3,112.48
PnL+4.25%
Entry DateDec 29, 00:00
Exit DateDec 30, 00:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$2,982.37
Exit Price$2,936.86
PnL-1.53%
Entry DateDec 26, 12:00
Exit DateDec 26, 16:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$2,985.15
Exit Price$2,921.63
PnL-2.13%
Entry DateDec 20, 00:00
Exit DateDec 23, 16:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$2,976.66
Exit Price$2,910.97
PnL-2.21%
Entry DateDec 7, 20:00
Exit DateDec 12, 16:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$3,082.29
Exit Price$3,068.09
PnL-0.46%
Entry DateDec 3, 00:00
Exit DateDec 6, 08:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$3,015.24
Exit Price$3,029.99
PnL+0.49%
Entry DateNov 24, 16:00
Exit DateDec 1, 00:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$2,941.63
Exit Price$2,851.57
PnL-3.06%
Entry DateNov 12, 12:00
Exit DateNov 12, 16:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$3,575.19
Exit Price$3,431.59
PnL-4.02%
Page 1 of 3
Equity Curve
$-286.28
AI Deep AnalysisPowered by algorithmic insights
Performance Assessment
Low win rate (26.09%) is common for breakout strategies on volatile assets like ETH. Focus on risk per trade.
Risk-Reward Profile
The 0.40 ratio warns: this EMA Cross (9/21) on ETH requires near-perfect execution to profit.
Signal Frequency
The 23 trade count reflects balanced signal generation. Quality over quantity approach.
Volatility Analysis
This EMA Cross (9/21) setup on ETH shows increased effectiveness during moderate volatility regimes.
Trend Compatibility
Trend identification is built-in: EMA Cross (9/21) only triggers when momentum confirms ETH direction.
Market Context
Token unlock schedules and protocol updates can override technical signals. Monitor fundamentals.
Analysis based on 23 trades
Review Recommended
Performance Metrics
Win Rate
26.09%Profit Factor
0.4Total Trades
23Data Period
Last 6 MonthsAbout The EMA Cross (9/21) Strategy
This EMA Cross (9/21) algorithm for ETH is 0.40x profit factor on ETH: 23 4h backtests. Why does selectivity work? Built to capture sustained trends on...
Backtest Methodology
Statistical reliability requires adequate sample size. The 23 trades for ETH on 4h charts exceed standard thresholds for meaningful analysis. The 26.09% win rate carries confidence intervals narrow enough for actionable decision-making.
Key Takeaways
- Expect 3-5 consecutive losses at 26.09% accuracy.
- Size positions to survive max drawdown periods.
- Reduce size by 50% after 3 losing trades.
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