DOT / USDT4h
DOT EMA Cross (9/21) Strategy (4h) - Backtest Results
Price Action & Trades
DOT / 4h
Recent Trade History (Live Proof)
| Entry Date | Exit Date | Type | Entry Price | Exit Price | Profit/Loss Ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 16:00 | Jan 19, 00:00 | Long | $2.2060 | $1.9610 | -11.11% |
| Jan 13, 16:00 | Jan 16, 00:00 | Long | $2.2450 | $2.1190 | -5.61% |
| Jan 1, 16:00 | Jan 8, 08:00 | Long | $1.9470 | $2.0990 | +7.81% |
| Dec 31, 12:00 | Dec 31, 16:00 | Long | $1.8270 | $1.7720 | -3.01% |
| Dec 27, 16:00 | Dec 31, 08:00 | Long | $1.8190 | $1.8110 | -0.44% |
| Dec 9, 16:00 | Dec 11, 04:00 | Long | $2.3330 | $2.0750 | -11.06% |
| Dec 3, 04:00 | Dec 5, 16:00 | Long | $2.3160 | $2.1260 | -8.2% |
| Nov 27, 16:00 | Nov 28, 16:00 | Long | $2.3710 | $2.2840 | -3.67% |
| Nov 7, 04:00 | Nov 12, 04:00 | Long | $2.8300 | $3.0860 | +9.05% |
| Oct 29, 20:00 | Oct 30, 00:00 | Long | $3.1450 | $3.0980 | -1.49% |
Entry DateJan 17, 16:00
Exit DateJan 19, 00:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$2.2060
Exit Price$1.9610
PnL-11.11%
Entry DateJan 13, 16:00
Exit DateJan 16, 00:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$2.2450
Exit Price$2.1190
PnL-5.61%
Entry DateJan 1, 16:00
Exit DateJan 8, 08:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$1.9470
Exit Price$2.0990
PnL+7.81%
Entry DateDec 31, 12:00
Exit DateDec 31, 16:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$1.8270
Exit Price$1.7720
PnL-3.01%
Entry DateDec 27, 16:00
Exit DateDec 31, 08:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$1.8190
Exit Price$1.8110
PnL-0.44%
Entry DateDec 9, 16:00
Exit DateDec 11, 04:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$2.3330
Exit Price$2.0750
PnL-11.06%
Entry DateDec 3, 04:00
Exit DateDec 5, 16:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$2.3160
Exit Price$2.1260
PnL-8.2%
Entry DateNov 27, 16:00
Exit DateNov 28, 16:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$2.3710
Exit Price$2.2840
PnL-3.67%
Entry DateNov 7, 04:00
Exit DateNov 12, 04:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$2.8300
Exit Price$3.0860
PnL+9.05%
Entry DateOct 29, 20:00
Exit DateOct 30, 00:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$3.1450
Exit Price$3.0980
PnL-1.49%
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Equity Curve
$-464.02
AI Deep AnalysisPowered by algorithmic insights
Performance Assessment
The 20% win rate indicates a high-risk, high-reward approach. Each winning trade must significantly outpace losses.
Risk-Reward Profile
At 0.38x, transaction costs and slippage could erode gains. Factor in realistic trading costs.
Signal Frequency
High signal frequency (25 trades) suits active traders seeking regular DOT engagement.
Position Sizing
Anti-martingale approach recommended: increase size after wins, reduce after losses.
Volatility Analysis
Historical analysis suggests reducing position size by 50% during VIX spikes above 30.
Market Context
The 4h timeframe captures optimal trade duration for DOT's typical move completion.
Analysis based on 25 trades
Review Recommended
Performance Metrics
Win Rate
20%Profit Factor
0.38Total Trades
25Data Period
Last 6 MonthsAbout The EMA Cross (9/21) Strategy
This EMA Cross (9/21) algorithm for DOT is 0.38x profit factor on DOT: 25 4h backtests. Why does selectivity work? Built to capture sustained trends on...
Backtest Methodology
Statistical reliability requires adequate sample size. The 25 trades for DOT on 4h charts exceed standard thresholds for meaningful analysis. The 20% win rate carries confidence intervals narrow enough for actionable decision-making.
Key Takeaways
- EMA Cross (9/21) rules are fully automatable.
- No discretionary decisions in entry/exit logic.
- Bot execution eliminates emotional trading on DOT.
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