COW / USDT1h

COW MACD Strategy (1h) - Backtest Results

Price Action & Trades

COW / 1h

Recent Trade History (Live Proof)

Entry DateJan 27, 16:00
Exit DateJan 28, 04:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$0.2027
Exit Price$0.1987
PnL-1.97%
Entry DateJan 26, 02:00
Exit DateJan 27, 02:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$0.1998
Exit Price$0.2017
PnL+0.95%
Entry DateJan 25, 01:00
Exit DateJan 25, 03:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$0.2121
Exit Price$0.2097
PnL-1.13%
Entry DateJan 23, 17:00
Exit DateJan 24, 15:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$0.2150
Exit Price$0.2118
PnL-1.49%
Entry DateJan 23, 03:00
Exit DateJan 23, 10:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$0.2137
Exit Price$0.2107
PnL-1.4%
Entry DateJan 21, 19:00
Exit DateJan 22, 10:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$0.2199
Exit Price$0.2192
PnL-0.32%
Entry DateJan 21, 02:00
Exit DateJan 21, 17:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$0.2232
Exit Price$0.2134
PnL-4.39%
Entry DateJan 19, 16:00
Exit DateJan 20, 08:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$0.2331
Exit Price$0.2283
PnL-2.06%
Entry DateJan 18, 18:00
Exit DateJan 18, 19:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$0.2544
Exit Price$0.2523
PnL-0.83%
Entry DateJan 16, 07:00
Exit DateJan 18, 04:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$0.2429
Exit Price$0.2492
PnL+2.59%
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Equity Curve

$-244.09
2025-11-112025-11-232025-12-052025-12-182025-12-302026-01-122026-01-28$0k$0.3k$0.6k$0.9k$1.2k

AI Deep AnalysisPowered by algorithmic insights

Performance Assessment

Low win rate (25.88%) is common for breakout strategies on volatile assets like COW. Focus on risk per trade.

Risk-Reward Profile

At 0.88x, consider wider stop-losses to improve average win size on COW.

Signal Frequency

The 85 signals offer many compounding opportunities but require strict execution discipline.

Position Sizing

Kelly Criterion suggests minimal position sizing for this edge.

Optimization Insight

Volume filters may improve win rate: require above-average volume for entry confirmation.

Trend Compatibility

During strong COW trends, this MACD captures continuation moves effectively.

Analysis based on 85 trades
Review Recommended

Performance Metrics

Win Rate
25.88%
Profit Factor
0.88
Total Trades
85
Data Period
Last 3 Months

See Live Signal

Real-time technical analysis

View the current MACD signal for COW with live market data, AI analysis, and trading recommendations.

COW1hLIVE

About The MACD Strategy

Testing MACD parameters against COW historical data, we found a setup Selective COW trading: 0.88x profit factor documented across 85 1h signals.

Backtest Methodology

Statistical reliability requires adequate sample size. The 85 trades for COW on 1h charts exceed standard thresholds for meaningful analysis. The 25.88% win rate carries confidence intervals narrow enough for actionable decision-making.

Key Takeaways

  • Trailing stops capture extended COW moves.
  • Take partial profits at 1.5R for MACD trades.
  • Exit at 1h candle close for clean fills.

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