COW / USDT4h
COW EMA Cross (9/21) Strategy (4h) - Backtest Results
Price Action & Trades
COW / 4h
Recent Trade History (Live Proof)
| Entry Date | Exit Date | Type | Entry Price | Exit Price | Profit/Loss Ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 20:00 | Jan 19, 00:00 | Long | $0.2524 | $0.2345 | -7.09% |
| Jan 13, 08:00 | Jan 16, 16:00 | Long | $0.2397 | $0.2411 | +0.58% |
| Jan 1, 12:00 | Jan 7, 20:00 | Long | $0.2185 | $0.2312 | +5.81% |
| Dec 31, 00:00 | Jan 1, 00:00 | Long | $0.2200 | $0.2147 | -2.41% |
| Dec 29, 00:00 | Dec 29, 16:00 | Long | $0.2197 | $0.2143 | -2.46% |
| Dec 19, 04:00 | Dec 27, 20:00 | Long | $0.1954 | $0.2148 | +9.93% |
| Dec 13, 20:00 | Dec 14, 08:00 | Long | $0.2026 | $0.1963 | -3.11% |
| Dec 12, 08:00 | Dec 12, 12:00 | Long | $0.2015 | $0.1936 | -3.92% |
| Dec 7, 16:00 | Dec 11, 16:00 | Long | $0.1957 | $0.1965 | +0.41% |
| Dec 2, 20:00 | Dec 5, 16:00 | Long | $0.1908 | $0.1828 | -4.19% |
Entry DateJan 17, 20:00
Exit DateJan 19, 00:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$0.2524
Exit Price$0.2345
PnL-7.09%
Entry DateJan 13, 08:00
Exit DateJan 16, 16:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$0.2397
Exit Price$0.2411
PnL+0.58%
Entry DateJan 1, 12:00
Exit DateJan 7, 20:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$0.2185
Exit Price$0.2312
PnL+5.81%
Entry DateDec 31, 00:00
Exit DateJan 1, 00:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$0.2200
Exit Price$0.2147
PnL-2.41%
Entry DateDec 29, 00:00
Exit DateDec 29, 16:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$0.2197
Exit Price$0.2143
PnL-2.46%
Entry DateDec 19, 04:00
Exit DateDec 27, 20:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$0.1954
Exit Price$0.2148
PnL+9.93%
Entry DateDec 13, 20:00
Exit DateDec 14, 08:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$0.2026
Exit Price$0.1963
PnL-3.11%
Entry DateDec 12, 08:00
Exit DateDec 12, 12:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$0.2015
Exit Price$0.1936
PnL-3.92%
Entry DateDec 7, 16:00
Exit DateDec 11, 16:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$0.1957
Exit Price$0.1965
PnL+0.41%
Entry DateDec 2, 20:00
Exit DateDec 5, 16:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$0.1908
Exit Price$0.1828
PnL-4.19%
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Equity Curve
$-439.37
AI Deep AnalysisPowered by algorithmic insights
Performance Assessment
With only 25% winners, this is an outlier-hunting strategy. The few wins must cover many small losses.
Risk-Reward Profile
At 0.21x, consider wider stop-losses to improve average win size on COW.
Signal Frequency
The 20 signals provide enough data for reliable backtesting while avoiding overtrading.
Trend Compatibility
During strong COW trends, this EMA Cross (9/21) captures continuation moves effectively.
Optimization Insight
Consider testing Bollinger Band periods of 18-22 candles for potential COW optimization.
Position Sizing
Kelly Criterion suggests minimal position sizing for this edge.
Analysis based on 20 trades
Review Recommended
Performance Metrics
Win Rate
25%Profit Factor
0.21Total Trades
20Data Period
Last 6 MonthsAbout The EMA Cross (9/21) Strategy
Our proprietary EMA Cross (9/21) model applied to COW is producing results with this setup Understanding COW trend capture: 20 backtests, 0.
Backtest Methodology
Designed for practical deployment, this COW strategy was tested with real exchange constraints. Order book depth, 4h candle formation timing, and API latency are factored into the 20 simulated executions. The 25% accuracy reflects deployable performance.
Key Takeaways
- EMA Cross (9/21) rules are fully automatable.
- No discretionary decisions in entry/exit logic.
- Bot execution eliminates emotional trading on COW.
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