CAKE / USDT1h

CAKE EMA Cross (9/21) Strategy (1h) - Backtest Results

Price Action & Trades

CAKE / 1h

Recent Trade History (Live Proof)

Entry DateJan 9, 11:00
Exit DateJan 9, 12:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$1.9500
Exit Price$1.9420
PnL-0.41%
Entry DateJan 9, 05:00
Exit DateJan 9, 09:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$1.9490
Exit Price$1.9420
PnL-0.36%
Entry DateJan 5, 22:00
Exit DateJan 6, 17:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$2.0690
Exit Price$1.9890
PnL-3.87%
Entry DateJan 4, 01:00
Exit DateJan 5, 21:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$2.0050
Exit Price$2.0570
PnL+2.59%
Entry DateDec 30, 14:00
Exit DateJan 3, 10:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$1.8540
Exit Price$1.9910
PnL+7.39%
Entry DateDec 27, 09:00
Exit DateDec 29, 11:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$1.8180
Exit Price$1.8540
PnL+1.98%
Entry DateDec 26, 05:00
Exit DateDec 26, 14:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$1.8330
Exit Price$1.8060
PnL-1.47%
Entry DateDec 25, 15:00
Exit DateDec 25, 23:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$1.8370
Exit Price$1.8020
PnL-1.91%
Entry DateDec 24, 16:00
Exit DateDec 25, 13:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$1.8210
Exit Price$1.8170
PnL-0.22%
Entry DateDec 22, 09:00
Exit DateDec 23, 06:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$1.8280
Exit Price$1.8050
PnL-1.26%
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Equity Curve

$-409.93
2025-10-232025-11-052025-11-172025-11-302025-12-132025-12-252026-01-11$0k$0.25k$0.5k$0.75k$1k

AI Deep AnalysisPowered by algorithmic insights

Performance Assessment

Low win rate (20%) is common for breakout strategies on volatile assets like CAKE. Focus on risk per trade.

Risk-Reward Profile

At 0.38x, transaction costs and slippage could erode gains. Factor in realistic trading costs.

Signal Frequency

With 50 signals generated, this is a high-activity setup. Expect multiple opportunities per week.

Timeframe Analysis

Shorter timeframes show more signals but lower win rates. 1h is the sweet spot.

Position Sizing

Kelly Criterion suggests minimal position sizing for this edge.

Optimization Insight

Consider testing Bollinger Band periods of 18-22 candles for potential CAKE optimization.

Analysis based on 50 trades
Review Recommended

Performance Metrics

Win Rate
20%
Profit Factor
0.38
Total Trades
50
Data Period
Last 3 Months

About The EMA Cross (9/21) Strategy

Analyzing CAKE with the EMA Cross (9/21) indicator, we see a system Understanding CAKE trend capture: 50 backtests, 0.

Backtest Methodology

The 20% accuracy for CAKE was validated across distinct market phases. We tested 50 signals through accumulation, distribution, markup, and markdown cycles visible on 1h charts. This ensures the strategy performs regardless of the current market regime.

Key Takeaways

  • Minimum $500 account for micro positions on CAKE.
  • 1% risk = $10 per trade on $1,000 account.
  • Scale position size with account growth.

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