BTC / USDT4h

BTC MACD Strategy (4h) - Backtest Results

Price Action & Trades

BTC / 4h

Recent Trade History (Live Proof)

Entry DateJan 22, 04:00
Exit DateJan 25, 16:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$90,026.31
Exit Price$87,888.24
PnL-2.37%
Entry DateJan 11, 04:00
Exit DateJan 16, 00:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$90,774.43
Exit Price$95,662.05
PnL+5.38%
Entry DateJan 1, 20:00
Exit DateJan 6, 16:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$88,377.67
Exit Price$91,500
PnL+3.53%
Entry DateDec 30, 16:00
Exit DateDec 31, 20:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$88,371.35
Exit Price$87,789.77
PnL-0.66%
Entry DateDec 28, 12:00
Exit DateDec 29, 20:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$87,896.6
Exit Price$87,337.85
PnL-0.64%
Entry DateDec 25, 16:00
Exit DateDec 27, 00:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$88,139.07
Exit Price$87,475.03
PnL-0.75%
Entry DateDec 17, 00:00
Exit DateDec 23, 04:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$87,552.3
Exit Price$87,765.01
PnL+0.24%
Entry DateDec 12, 04:00
Exit DateDec 12, 16:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$92,444.42
Exit Price$90,083.09
PnL-2.55%
Entry DateDec 9, 16:00
Exit DateDec 11, 00:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$93,927.99
Exit Price$90,643.19
PnL-3.5%
Entry DateDec 7, 20:00
Exit DateDec 9, 08:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$90,146.07
Exit Price$90,165.99
PnL+0.02%
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Equity Curve

$-149.48
2025-08-192025-09-142025-10-102025-11-042025-11-302025-12-252026-01-28$0k$0.3k$0.6k$0.9k$1.2k

AI Deep AnalysisPowered by algorithmic insights

Performance Assessment

Low win rate (27.78%) is common for breakout strategies on volatile assets like BTC. Focus on risk per trade.

Risk-Reward Profile

Low profit factor (0.77) indicates potential parameter optimization is needed for BTC.

Signal Frequency

The 36 trade count provides excellent statistical significance for performance evaluation.

Volatility Analysis

Volatility clustering in BTC may cause consecutive signals—beware of correlation between trades.

Market Context

BTC liquidity levels support clean MACD execution without significant slippage impact.

Optimization Insight

Time-of-day filtering may improve results: analyze when BTC shows strongest MACD response.

Analysis based on 36 trades
Review Recommended

Performance Metrics

Win Rate
27.78%
Profit Factor
0.77
Total Trades
36
Data Period
Last 6 Months

See Live Signal

Real-time technical analysis

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About The MACD Strategy

Our quantitative analysis of MACD on BTC demonstrates a setup 0.77x profit factor on BTC: 36 4h backtests.

Backtest Methodology

Every metric shown for BTC is fully reproducible. The 36 trades on the 4h chart follow documented rules with no discretionary elements. Any user applying identical parameters should achieve results consistent with our 27.78% accuracy.

Key Takeaways

  • 27.78% accuracy still means frequent losses.
  • Stick to the system during losing streaks.
  • Confidence comes from backtested edge, not individual trades.

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