BTC / USDT1h

BTC MACD Strategy (1h) - Backtest Results

Price Action & Trades

BTC / 1h

Recent Trade History (Live Proof)

Entry DateJan 26, 02:00
Exit DateJan 27, 09:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$87,919.3
Exit Price$87,983.63
PnL+0.07%
Entry DateJan 25, 15:00
Exit DateJan 25, 16:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$88,741.8
Exit Price$88,038.12
PnL-0.79%
Entry DateJan 24, 05:00
Exit DateJan 24, 06:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$89,816.12
Exit Price$89,649.99
PnL-0.18%
Entry DateJan 23, 17:00
Exit DateJan 24, 00:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$90,953.71
Exit Price$89,452.79
PnL-1.65%
Entry DateJan 23, 01:00
Exit DateJan 23, 08:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$89,694.29
Exit Price$89,332.79
PnL-0.4%
Entry DateJan 21, 19:00
Exit DateJan 22, 14:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$89,654.79
Exit Price$89,574.08
PnL-0.09%
Entry DateJan 21, 04:00
Exit DateJan 21, 18:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$89,500
Exit Price$88,038.59
PnL-1.63%
Entry DateJan 19, 11:00
Exit DateJan 20, 04:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$93,129.94
Exit Price$92,311.78
PnL-0.88%
Entry DateJan 18, 14:00
Exit DateJan 18, 23:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$95,164.99
Exit Price$94,607.18
PnL-0.59%
Entry DateJan 18, 09:00
Exit DateJan 18, 13:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$95,186.3
Exit Price$94,969.95
PnL-0.23%
Page 1 of 8

Equity Curve

$-193.37
2025-11-112025-11-232025-12-052025-12-182025-12-302026-01-122026-01-28$0k$0.3k$0.6k$0.9k$1.2k

AI Deep AnalysisPowered by algorithmic insights

Performance Assessment

Low win rate (24.36%) is common for breakout strategies on volatile assets like BTC. Focus on risk per trade.

Risk-Reward Profile

The 0.85 ratio warns: this MACD on BTC requires near-perfect execution to profit.

Signal Frequency

The 78 signals offer many compounding opportunities but require strict execution discipline.

Position Sizing

Kelly Criterion suggests minimal position sizing for this edge.

Optimization Insight

Volume filters may improve win rate: require above-average volume for entry confirmation.

Trend Compatibility

This MACD configuration excels in trending BTC markets. Avoid during extended consolidation.

Analysis based on 78 trades
Review Recommended

Performance Metrics

Win Rate
24.36%
Profit Factor
0.85
Total Trades
78
Data Period
Last 3 Months

See Live Signal

Real-time technical analysis

View the current MACD signal for BTC with live market data, AI analysis, and trading recommendations.

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About The MACD Strategy

Testing MACD parameters against BTC historical data, we found a setup Selective BTC trading: 0.85x profit factor documented across 78 1h signals.

Backtest Methodology

Statistical reliability requires adequate sample size. The 78 trades for BTC on 1h charts exceed standard thresholds for meaningful analysis. The 24.36% win rate carries confidence intervals narrow enough for actionable decision-making.

Key Takeaways

  • Minimum $500 account for micro positions on BTC.
  • 1% risk = $10 per trade on $1,000 account.
  • Scale position size with account growth.

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