BTC / USDT4h
BTC EMA Cross (9/21) Strategy (4h) - Backtest Results
Price Action & Trades
BTC / 4h
Recent Trade History (Live Proof)
| Entry Date | Exit Date | Type | Entry Price | Exit Price | Profit/Loss Ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 16:00 | Jan 19, 00:00 | Long | $91,528 | $92,583.56 | +1.15% |
| Jan 12, 04:00 | Jan 12, 12:00 | Long | $92,111.87 | $90,636.01 | -1.6% |
| Jan 1, 16:00 | Jan 7, 20:00 | Long | $88,342.55 | $91,089.5 | +3.11% |
| Dec 30, 16:00 | Jan 1, 08:00 | Long | $88,371.35 | $87,877.99 | -0.56% |
| Dec 29, 00:00 | Dec 29, 20:00 | Long | $88,451.35 | $87,337.85 | -1.26% |
| Dec 26, 04:00 | Dec 27, 00:00 | Long | $88,996.58 | $87,475.03 | -1.71% |
| Dec 20, 00:00 | Dec 23, 12:00 | Long | $88,075.89 | $87,616.66 | -0.52% |
| Dec 11, 20:00 | Dec 12, 20:00 | Long | $92,900.53 | $90,192.03 | -2.92% |
| Dec 9, 16:00 | Dec 11, 08:00 | Long | $93,927.99 | $90,236.01 | -3.93% |
| Dec 8, 04:00 | Dec 9, 08:00 | Long | $91,334.04 | $90,165.99 | -1.28% |
Entry DateJan 12, 16:00
Exit DateJan 19, 00:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$91,528
Exit Price$92,583.56
PnL+1.15%
Entry DateJan 12, 04:00
Exit DateJan 12, 12:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$92,111.87
Exit Price$90,636.01
PnL-1.6%
Entry DateJan 1, 16:00
Exit DateJan 7, 20:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$88,342.55
Exit Price$91,089.5
PnL+3.11%
Entry DateDec 30, 16:00
Exit DateJan 1, 08:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$88,371.35
Exit Price$87,877.99
PnL-0.56%
Entry DateDec 29, 00:00
Exit DateDec 29, 20:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$88,451.35
Exit Price$87,337.85
PnL-1.26%
Entry DateDec 26, 04:00
Exit DateDec 27, 00:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$88,996.58
Exit Price$87,475.03
PnL-1.71%
Entry DateDec 20, 00:00
Exit DateDec 23, 12:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$88,075.89
Exit Price$87,616.66
PnL-0.52%
Entry DateDec 11, 20:00
Exit DateDec 12, 20:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$92,900.53
Exit Price$90,192.03
PnL-2.92%
Entry DateDec 9, 16:00
Exit DateDec 11, 08:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$93,927.99
Exit Price$90,236.01
PnL-3.93%
Entry DateDec 8, 04:00
Exit DateDec 9, 08:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$91,334.04
Exit Price$90,165.99
PnL-1.28%
Page 1 of 3
Equity Curve
$-206.15
AI Deep AnalysisPowered by algorithmic insights
Performance Assessment
Low precision (25%) on 4h indicates signal noise. Higher timeframes may improve accuracy.
Risk-Reward Profile
Low profit factor (0.56) indicates potential parameter optimization is needed for BTC.
Signal Frequency
At 24 trades, the algorithm filters noise while capturing significant BTC moves.
Optimization Insight
Consider testing Bollinger Band periods of 18-22 candles for potential BTC optimization.
Position Sizing
Kelly Criterion suggests minimal position sizing for this edge.
Timeframe Analysis
The 4h chart captures BTC's characteristic momentum cycles effectively.
Analysis based on 24 trades
Review Recommended
Performance Metrics
Win Rate
25%Profit Factor
0.56Total Trades
24Data Period
Last 6 MonthsAbout The EMA Cross (9/21) Strategy
Our quantitative analysis of EMA Cross (9/21) on BTC demonstrates a setup 0.56x profit factor on BTC: 24 4h backtests.
Backtest Methodology
Human bias is eliminated in our BTC testing. Each of the 24 trades on 4h candles followed pre-defined systematic rules with no discretionary overrides. The 25% success rate reflects pure algorithmic execution.
Key Takeaways
- Best performance in trending BTC markets.
- 4h resolution captures key reversals.
- Avoid during low-liquidity sessions.
Was this analysis helpful?
Your feedback helps us improve our backtest reports and provide better insights.
Have specific suggestions? Contact us