AVAX / USDT4h

AVAX MACD Strategy (4h) - Backtest Results

Price Action & Trades

AVAX / 4h
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Recent Trade History (Live Proof)

Entry DateJan 21, 20:00
Exit DateJan 25, 16:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$12.63
Exit Price$11.63
PnL-7.92%
Entry DateJan 18, 20:00
Exit DateJan 19, 00:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$13.71
Exit Price$12.6
PnL-8.1%
Entry DateJan 13, 08:00
Exit DateJan 15, 12:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$13.81
Exit Price$14.36
PnL+3.98%
Entry DateJan 11, 16:00
Exit DateJan 12, 12:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$13.95
Exit Price$13.57
PnL-2.72%
Entry DateJan 1, 16:00
Exit DateJan 5, 04:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$12.74
Exit Price$14.11
PnL+10.75%
Entry DateDec 25, 08:00
Exit DateDec 29, 12:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$12.28
Exit Price$12.57
PnL+2.36%
Entry DateDec 19, 08:00
Exit DateDec 23, 16:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$11.95
Exit Price$11.98
PnL+0.25%
Entry DateDec 18, 12:00
Exit DateDec 18, 20:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$12.24
Exit Price$11.54
PnL-5.72%
Entry DateDec 17, 12:00
Exit DateDec 17, 16:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$12.29
Exit Price$11.92
PnL-3.01%
Entry DateDec 15, 04:00
Exit DateDec 15, 16:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$13.22
Exit Price$12.31
PnL-6.88%
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Equity Curve

$-406.42
2025-08-172025-09-122025-10-082025-11-032025-11-292025-12-252026-01-28$0k$0.3k$0.6k$0.9k$1.2k

AI Deep AnalysisPowered by algorithmic insights

Performance Assessment

The 34.15% win rate indicates a high-risk, high-reward approach. Each winning trade must significantly outpace losses.

Risk-Reward Profile

At 0.67x, transaction costs and slippage could erode gains. Factor in realistic trading costs.

Signal Frequency

This volume (41 trades) means the MACD is highly responsive to AVAX price action.

Timeframe Analysis

Shorter timeframes show more signals but lower win rates. 4h is the sweet spot.

Trend Compatibility

The algorithm's entry timing is optimized for early-trend participation on the 4h chart.

Position Sizing

Volatility-adjusted sizing: reduce position size when AVAX ATR exceeds 150% of average.

Analysis based on 41 trades
Review Recommended

Performance Metrics

Win Rate
34.15%
Profit Factor
0.67
Total Trades
41
Data Period
Last 6 Months

See Live Signal

Real-time technical analysis

View the current MACD signal for AVAX with live market data, AI analysis, and trading recommendations.

AVAX4hLIVE

About The MACD Strategy

Our latest backtest of MACD on the AVAX pair reveals a strategy Selective AVAX trading: 0.67x profit factor documented across 41 4h signals.

Backtest Methodology

Human bias is eliminated in our AVAX testing. Each of the 41 trades on 4h candles followed pre-defined systematic rules with no discretionary overrides. The 34.15% success rate reflects pure algorithmic execution.

Key Takeaways

  • 34.15% accuracy still means frequent losses.
  • Stick to the system during losing streaks.
  • Confidence comes from backtested edge, not individual trades.

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