AR / USDT1h
AR EMA Cross (9/21) Strategy (1h) - Backtest Results
Price Action & Trades
AR / 1h
Recent Trade History (Live Proof)
| Entry Date | Exit Date | Type | Entry Price | Exit Price | Profit/Loss Ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 23:00 | Jan 7, 00:00 | Long | $4.1300 | $4.0400 | -2.18% |
| Jan 5, 15:00 | Jan 6, 17:00 | Long | $4.1100 | $3.9600 | -3.65% |
| Jan 1, 10:00 | Jan 5, 05:00 | Long | $3.5100 | $3.9200 | +11.68% |
| Dec 31, 09:00 | Dec 31, 15:00 | Long | $3.5300 | $3.4700 | -1.7% |
| Dec 27, 03:00 | Dec 29, 09:00 | Long | $3.4800 | $3.6300 | +4.31% |
| Dec 26, 04:00 | Dec 26, 15:00 | Long | $3.4800 | $3.4100 | -2.01% |
| Dec 24, 20:00 | Dec 25, 22:00 | Long | $3.3900 | $3.3700 | -0.59% |
| Dec 23, 19:00 | Dec 24, 03:00 | Long | $3.4300 | $3.3600 | -2.04% |
| Dec 22, 07:00 | Dec 23, 04:00 | Long | $3.4300 | $3.3900 | -1.17% |
| Dec 19, 06:00 | Dec 21, 04:00 | Long | $3.3800 | $3.4300 | +1.48% |
Entry DateJan 6, 23:00
Exit DateJan 7, 00:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$4.1300
Exit Price$4.0400
PnL-2.18%
Entry DateJan 5, 15:00
Exit DateJan 6, 17:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$4.1100
Exit Price$3.9600
PnL-3.65%
Entry DateJan 1, 10:00
Exit DateJan 5, 05:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$3.5100
Exit Price$3.9200
PnL+11.68%
Entry DateDec 31, 09:00
Exit DateDec 31, 15:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$3.5300
Exit Price$3.4700
PnL-1.7%
Entry DateDec 27, 03:00
Exit DateDec 29, 09:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$3.4800
Exit Price$3.6300
PnL+4.31%
Entry DateDec 26, 04:00
Exit DateDec 26, 15:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$3.4800
Exit Price$3.4100
PnL-2.01%
Entry DateDec 24, 20:00
Exit DateDec 25, 22:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$3.3900
Exit Price$3.3700
PnL-0.59%
Entry DateDec 23, 19:00
Exit DateDec 24, 03:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$3.4300
Exit Price$3.3600
PnL-2.04%
Entry DateDec 22, 07:00
Exit DateDec 23, 04:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$3.4300
Exit Price$3.3900
PnL-1.17%
Entry DateDec 19, 06:00
Exit DateDec 21, 04:00
TypeLong
Entry Price$3.3800
Exit Price$3.4300
PnL+1.48%
Page 1 of 5
Equity Curve
$-17.89
AI Deep AnalysisPowered by algorithmic insights
Performance Assessment
With only 25% winners, this is an outlier-hunting strategy. The few wins must cover many small losses.
Risk-Reward Profile
The 1.21 ratio is respectable. Focus on reducing drawdowns to improve overall performance.
Signal Frequency
The 48 signals offer many compounding opportunities but require strict execution discipline.
Trend Compatibility
This EMA Cross (9/21) configuration excels in trending AR markets. Avoid during extended consolidation.
Optimization Insight
Consider testing Bollinger Band periods of 18-22 candles for potential AR optimization.
Position Sizing
Volatility-adjusted sizing: reduce position size when AR ATR exceeds 150% of average.
Analysis based on 48 trades
Review Recommended
Performance Metrics
Win Rate
25%Profit Factor
1.21Total Trades
48Data Period
Last 3 MonthsAbout The EMA Cross (9/21) Strategy
We have extensively tested the EMA Cross (9/21) indicator on AR, resulting in a system showing 25% hit rate, indicating this is a trend-following system requiring patience. Capturing the daily range effectively using 1h signals. At 1.21x, the risk-reward balance supports gradual but steady account growth. With 48 trades executed, this sample size is statistically significant.
Backtest Methodology
Human bias is eliminated in our AR testing. Each of the 48 trades on 1h candles followed pre-defined systematic rules with no discretionary overrides. The 25% success rate reflects pure algorithmic execution.
Key Takeaways
- EMA Cross (9/21) rules are fully automatable.
- No discretionary decisions in entry/exit logic.
- Bot execution eliminates emotional trading on AR.
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